(25 Feb 2025)
While ICE has been waging a media campaign on its “stepped up enforcement,” a more careful examination
shows little evidence that actual immigration arrests and removals have increased over the Biden
administration’s record for FY 2024 into January 2025.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) publishes semi-monthly statistics that are legislatively
mandated by the annual Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Acts Congress has passed. These
provide monthly totals for initial ICE book-ins following an arrest as well as fiscal year totals to
date for ICE removals. TRAC compiles initial ICE book-ins following an arrest on its
QuickFacts
page and provides a
detailed time series
going back to October 2018.
While these semi-monthly statistics don’t divide January neatly into before and after the change in
presidential administrations, the series does capture the last 6 days of January of the new Trump
administration. Initial book-ins did initially jump to 1,126 per day. But in February — despite
assigning personnel from other agencies to immigration enforcement — daily numbers have fallen below
daily arrests during FY 2024 under the Biden administration.
ICE removals are also tracked in this congressionally mandated series. Using recent updates to derive
a daily rate of deportations, we find that removals actually declined during these initial fourteen
days under Trump by 6.5 percent — despite enlisting the help of the military — when compared with the
Biden presidency during FY 2024.
These records documenting arrests and removals during the initial days of the Trump presidency do not
necessarily foretell future patterns. But they do show that thus far the hype does not in fact reflect
what actually has occurred on the ground.
The full report provides full specifics of arrest and removal numbers and details how these
comparisons were made.
TRAC is a self-supporting, nonpartisan, and independent research organization specializing in
data collection and analysis on federal enforcement, staffing, and spending. We produce multiple
reports every month on critical issues, and we also provide comprehensive data analysis tools.
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